Kalonzo Musyoka Surges as William Ruto Stumbles: Kenya’s 2027 Presidential Election Landscape
By Ruzeki | Shadoww News | November 8, 2025
WanTam is Here!
After three years of political turbulence, Kenyans are signalling they’ve had enough of chaos and are craving for calm, truthful and steady leadership. The latest national polls show Wiper leader Kalonzo Musyoka as the most favoured candidate ahead of the 2027 general election, overtaking incumbent President William Ruto, whose popularity continues to slide amid growing public discontent.
Leading the Charge: Latest Poll Evidence
According to the latest Centre for Africa Progress (CAP) survey, Kalonzo Musyoka leads the presidential race with 36% support among registered voters, making him the most preferred opposition candidate ahead of 2027.
By contrast, President Ruto who enjoyed strong backing before the 2022 elections, now faces lowest approval ratings of a president, shaken alliances, and mounting economic and social frustrations among Kenyans.
What’s Hurting Ruto’s Re-election Bid?
President Ruto’s re-election chances are being undermined by a combination of political betrayals, economic hardship, governance failures, and a growing public fatigue with his one-man leadership style.
1. Betrayal and Broken Alliances
Ruto’s fallout with key 2022 ally Rigathi Gachagua has fractured his ruling coalition. Gachagua, once the truthful Deputy President who was ousted by Ruto, has since distanced himself from reuniting with Ruto and has fully aligned with opposition forces in support of a united front behind Kalonzo Musyoka. This defection has weakened Ruto’s base in Mt. Kenya, a region that played a decisive role in his 2022 victory. Even the latest Luo Nyanza hope seems to be coming to a premature stop, following the untimely death of Baba.
2. Economic Pain and Policy Backlash
The “bottom-up” promise that brought Ruto to power has morphed into what many now call “tax-up, pay-down economics.”
- The cost of living remains unbearably high.
- New taxes, the housing levy, and mandatory SHA/NSSF contributions have eroded take-home pay.
- Job creation is stagnant, leaving millions of young Kenyans unemployed.
Ruto’s economic policies, once hailed as revolutionary, are now viewed as punitive — fuelling resentment even among his former supporters.
3. Governance, Human Rights, and Trust Deficit
Ruto’s administration faces widespread criticism for extrajudicial killings, abductions, police brutality, and suppression of free speech. Meanwhile, runaway corruption, the sale of state parastatals, and confirmed gold and drug trafficking links have stained his reformist image. His government’s increasing interference in foreign affairs — from Sudan to Eastern DRC — has drawn both domestic and international condemnation.
4. Opposition Momentum and Narrative Shift
Kalonzo Musyoka has emerged as a unifying figure — calm, steady, selfless and principled. His message of peace and order contrasts sharply with Ruto’s perceived divisiveness. The death of Raila Odinga, which has thrown the Luo Nyanza region into turmoil, has further consolidated opposition unity, with many Raila loyalists now coalescing around Kalonzo as the candidate of continuity and calm leadership. Thanks to his forever loyalty and friendship with the Odingas.
5. Regional and Demographic Shifts
Ruto’s traditional support bases, especially in Mt. Kenya and Rift Valley, are showing deep cracks. Youth voters, now the largest demographic bloc, are increasingly disillusioned by corruption, nepotism, and unkept promises. A new generation, vocal and politically conscious, is gravitating toward Kalonzo as the voice of change and stability.
The WanTam wave
President Ruto still commands institutional power — the presidency, parliament, and the state machinery. But power without legitimacy is fragile, something we all witnessed during Uhuru-Raila handshake era. His widening credibility gap, economic failures, and governance controversies are eroding his re-election prospects.
Meanwhile, Kalonzo Musyoka is steadily gaining ground. His calm demeanour, consistent message, and growing national appeal have positioned him as the alternative Kenyans are ready to embrace.
As 2027 approaches, one question dominates Kenya’s political landscape: Can Ruto recover lost ground — or has Kalonzo already won the nation’s trust?
All the answers point to the later.
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